The Stock Market's Most Volatile Months Of The Year
RL085 - The Stock Market's Most Volatile Months Of The Year
Today on the Retirement Lifestyle Show, Roshan Loungani, Erik Olson, and Adrian Nicholson analyze the high volatility months. They explain why October is historically very volatile, the best months in the stock market, and how to react to the most volatile months.
[03:40] Understanding the September Effect
[07:20] Data on the Most Volatile Months
[12:50] The 94-year History on Volatility
[16:25] What to do in the Most Volatile Months
[18:15] Factors Affecting Volatility Rates in October and November
[19:20] The Best Months in the Stock Market
[20:10] How Most Investors React to the Decline in the Markets
For more links and the full show notes keep scrolling down!
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Full Show Notes:
Best and Worst Months in the Stock Market
The primary reason for investing in the stock market is to make gains. And the best way to enjoy the most gains is to have perfect timing for withdrawals. However, stock prices tend to go up and down of their own volition. Some months give the best stock market returns, while others are just the worst. Experts agree that there's no definitive way to know the best month to invest in the stock market stocks. But by analyzing past market trends, one can get a feel of the months to avoid.
Understanding The September Effect
Since 1950, September has constantly seen an average decline of 0.4% in the S&P 500. On the other hand, Nasdaq has also seen its composite index fall an average of 0.5% during September trading. This year, the S&P 500 was down 3% in September, further highlighting the case of the frequent September decline. Many financial experts link the September low to people selling stocks to send their kids to college, the end of summer, and people taking profits from the market. Although September historically is a lousy trading month, it's not always the worst month to trade every year. October holds that title, followed closely by November.
What to Do in the Most Volatile Months
As earlier mentioned, October is the most volatile month of the year, meaning emotions are often very high this time of year. Although it's difficult to be entirely certain what causes the rise in volatility in October, the trend will continue into 2021 since the S&P is already down by 3% at the time of recording. So, what can investors do to get through the month of the most volatile months of the year? First, it always pays to remain calm and not make any rash decisions. You don't want to react too much to a trend that always seems to recover a few months later. Plus, if you're a long-term investor, higher volatility should be the least of your concerns. But if you feel like something needs to be done, please get in touch with your financial advisor for informed feedback.
All opinions expressed by podcast hosts and guests are solely their own. While based on information that they believe is reliable, neither Arete Wealth nor its affiliates warrant its completeness or accuracy, nor do their opinions reflect the opinion of Arete Wealth. This podcast is for general informational purposes only, and should not be regarded as specific advice or recommendations for any individual. Before making any decisions, consult a professional.