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The Fed, Mortgage Rates, and Home Price Expectations

RL115 - The Fed, Mortgage Rates, and Home Price Expectations

Today on the Retirement Lifestyle Show, Roshan Loungani, Erik Olson, and Adrian Nicholson talk about how rising interest rates will affect home prices in the US. They discuss how the Fed uses low-interest rates to combat inflation, the best economic environments to buy a house, and the historical average mortgage rates in the US.

[04:40] Fed Rates and the Low-Interest Rate Environment

[08:25] How the Fed Uses Interest Rates to Combat Inflation

[10:10] How Interest rates Affect the Housing Markets

[13:45] Impact of the Low-Interest Rate Environment on the Economy

[18:44] Cutbacks on Spending and the Recession Risk

[22:05] The Housing Prices Dynamic in Response to Low-Interest Rates

[27:07] The Historical Average Mortgage Rates in the US

[31:20] Primary Variables Affecting Home Prices

[34:21] Millennials in the Housing Market

[38:15] Should You Buy a Home Right Now or Wait a Year?

[40:42] Adjustable Rate Mortgages

[46:18] Interest Rate Speculations

[48:55] Peak Inflation and How it Might Affect Mortgage Rates

[50:50] How Serial Entrepreneurs are Building Impact-Led Businesses Around the World

[55:40] Parting Thoughts

For more links and the full show notes keep scrolling down!

Roshan Loungani can be reached at or at 202-536-4468.

Erik Olson can be reached at or 815-940-4652.

Adrian Nicholson can be reached at or at 703-915-8905.

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Full Show Notes:

How Interest Rates Affect the Housing Markets

Mortgage rates are under attack. The uncertainty due to the war in Ukraine, rising inflation, and the Federal Reserve's monetary policies currently affect the housing markets. For example, the more inflation rises, the more the Fed reacts by aggressively going after the monetary policy and increasing interest rates. The increase in monetary policies inevitably leads to higher mortgage rates. And while rising interest rates might seem a little too much, the Fed primarily wants to keep those current and predicted price rises under control. Higher interest rates mean less money circulating in the economy and thus make borrowing more expensive. For the average American, this could mean higher mortgage costs. The past decade has seen an extraordinary period of cheap mortgages, but since the pandemic hit, there were signs that the period of ultra-low mortgage rates was coming to an end.

Adjustable-Rate Mortgages

Adjustable-rate mortgages(ARM) are home loans with a variable interest rate. The initial interest rate in the ARM is fixed for a period of time. After that period is over, the interest rate on the outstanding balance is reset periodically, yearly or even monthly, depending on the mortgage terms.

On the other hand, a fixed-rate mortgage charges a set interest rate that remains unchanged throughout the entirety of the loan. The fact that the total payment remains the same is beneficial for homeowners and makes budgeting easy. The main benefit of having a fixed-rate loan is that the borrower is protected from sudden increases in monthly mortgage repayments if interest rates rise. However, when the interest rates are high for fixed-rate mortgages, qualifying for a loan becomes more difficult because the payments are less affordable.

All opinions expressed by podcast hosts and guests are solely their own. While based on information that they believe is reliable, neither Arete Wealth nor its affiliates warrant its completeness or accuracy, nor do their opinions reflect the opinion of Arete Wealth. This podcast is for general informational purposes only, and should not be regarded as specific advice or recommendations for any individual. Before making any decisions, consult a professional.

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